Mr. N’s #NFL Preseason Power Poll Teams # 24-17 #NFLTrainingCamp #NFLPreseason


NFL Power Rankings

 

Here is part 2 of my preseason prognostication…

 

24 – Miami Dolphins – This team was a top 15 in my early thinking and then they lost Tannehill and brought in Cutler. Nuff said.

If all goes Bad Cutler – 3-13
If all goes likely Cutler – 5-11
if Cutler doesn’t play like a total putz – 7-9

 

23 – Philadelphia Eagles – They have Wentz getting better but now have a bit of a mixed bag of receivers and still are trying to get their legs under them with RB and TE. The D can be solid but without a fully functional O this could be another rough year in Philly.

 

If all is bad – 4-12
In all likelihood – 6-10
If Wentz is super – 8-8

 

22 – Indianapolis Colts – This team wasn’t very good with Andrew Luck healthy and now he is dinged up and coming back slowly from injury. This is not going to be a good year for the Colts.

 

If all bad – 5-11
If they are ok – 7-9
If Luck is superb – 9-7

 

21 – Cincinnati Bengals – They missed the playoffs last year for first time in 5 years and this year…it will be twice in a row. They are getting old and not getting better and their hope is based on people who haven’t played well yet will play better. Good luck with that.

 

If the year explodes – 5-11
all likely – 8-8
if Dalton has a little magic – 10-6

 

20 – Detroit Lions – A team that persistently has a dark cloud over their head and never gets any breaks or luck. They aren’t much better and they plan to dump tons of $$$ on Stafford who has never done anything. He is the dictionary definition that throwing for 5,000 yards doesn’t mean much any more.

 

If very Detroit like – 4-12
If they play like they could – 8-8
If they play 60 all the time – 9-7

 

19 – Washington Redskins – The only break they have caught this year is to have Elliott suspended on Dallas. They have a QB who is probably mad at management and they seem to lack a lot on D. No Division title here.

 

if it’s bad – 4-12
they are probably – 8-8
Their best is – 9-7

 

18 – New Orleans Saints – Brees and his O take this team as far as it goes. The D still (STILL) has issues. They are the same team they have been for years.

 

if they are bad – 5-11
If they are who they are – 8-8
if the outscore many – 10-6

 

17 – Baltimore Ravens – A team that did a lot for D but did Nothing for O except lose 2 starting linemen. They are getting old and can’t score any points.

 

If they get old fast a dismal – 3-13
If they are ok – 8-8
If Flacco has a great year – 10-6.

 

There you have it!

 

Top 16 left…

 

either in 4’s or 8’s time depending!

 

Mr. N The BEARS Fan

Mr. N’s #NFL Preseason Power Poll Teams # 32-25 #NFLTrainingCamp #NFLPreseason


NFL Power Rankings

 

Hey everyone! The off-season has come to an end, the regular season is just about 4 and a 1/2 weeks from now and now is the time to whet people’s appetites for the fun that is to come!

 

I will be doing my Preseason power poll as a backwards countdown from 32 to 1.

 

We start with the bottom 8…

 

32. The New York Jets – A team that has embraced the word tank. They divested themselves of most key veterans and have done little to put any talent out at the majority of their positions. They are aiming to get QB Sam Darnold with the first pick *the fly in that ointment is that Darnold may not go pro but that would be Jet luck.

 

Worst and most likely case – 0-16
Best case scenario – 3/13

 

31. Chicago Bears – A team that traded the moon for a QB and now must pay the piper. They have RBs, a decent O line and better D than before but there is an atmosphere of free falling here and they play a tough schedule.

 

Worst Case – 1/15
Likely – 2/14
Best Case – 4/12

 

30. Buffalo Bills – The Ralph will be the scene of much Ralphing this year with this group on the field. Led by an ownership group that doesn’t seem to have any direction, this team is going to struggle.

 

Worst Case – 2/14
Likely – 3/13
Best – 5/11

 

29. San Francisco 49ers – New regime and they are building a good base but they need to grow together and get experience and that will take time. They are also in a pretty tough division so the learning part may not be pretty early.

 

Worst Case – 3/13
Likely – 4/12
Best Case – 5/11

 

28. Miami Dolphins – This team was going to be a top 15 but then Tannehill got hurt and they dug the rotting corpse of Jay Cutler out of his football grave and gave him the starting QB job. Any hope this team had went south with Cutler trying to sign his contract but over throwing the pen and signing the plant on the desk.

 

Worst Case – 2/14
Likely – 4/12
Best – 5/11

 

27. Cleveland Browns – They are not going to be as bad as they have been lately simply because other teams are worse and they get to play them. They are getting a bit more talent and may challenge teams more consistently as they grow.

 

Worst case – 2/14
Likely – 4/12
Best case – 6/10

 

26. Los Angeles Rams – A team trying to grow with a young QB who needs to learn fast. They may yet get something going with Goff but this is a tough Division and they have a hard sked.

 

Worst case – 3/13
Likely 6/10
Best case – 7/9

 

25. Los Angeles Chargers – A new town, an old QB and a tiny little stadium to play in this year. A head coach with no experience but a D that is getting better. They have already suffered a key injury losing who was touted as potential offensive rookie of the year (Mike Williams WR).

 

Worst case – 4/12
Likely – 6/10
Best – 8/8

 

Next post starts with team 24…

 

Mr. N The BEARS Fan

MR N’s #NFL NFC South 2015 Preview‏ #nflthoughts #nflpreseason


NFC South

New Orleans Saints – Last year I looked at the Saints, looked at their schedule and anointed them a 13-3, a first round bye, and then just a loss to one of the other top NFC teams.  They stunk out the joint and made that one of my least accurate predictions.  This year they have changed up the entire game plan and have Brees now using a variety of weapons while they concentrate on a running attack that will eat the clock and keep their D fresh.  Their O line has been improved some.  The Special teams needs help.  The D can’t be worse than last year unless they finish 32.  The schemes will work if there is nominal growth on the both the D line and at linebacker and secondary.  Still it isn’t all that bad as they only need to keep the opposition down a little while their team scores a lot.  The schedule is another gimme and they could almost run the table again.  I think if all goes well they will be 13-3 and have a first round playoff bye and be defeated in the division round.  If the D tanks then 6-10 is not out of the question.  I will drink the Kool-Aid once more and say 12-4 and they win the division and get a bye as the #2 seed in the NFC.

Carolina Panthers – The Panthers are now thought to be at a crossroads with the loss of Kelvin Benjamin in the preseason.  I say thee nay.  I think Caaaaaaam has a new O line anchor, a dedicated one man RB with a good rookie Sub, a super TE, and a cadre of receivers who will get the job done.  Add to that a fantastic D that has a great front 7 and a secondary that is coming on.  They have solid special teams and they have a pretty ridiculously easy schedule as a ‘reward’ for winning the division and a playoff game (how did that happen?).  I see them going 4-0 into their bye and then cruising through the remainder and not really getting a challenge.  If all goes beyond their dreams, they could be 12-4.  If the secondary falters and the receivers aren’t there then 9-7 is possible.  I think the ease of schedule helps settle them to an 11-5 and that may just be the division title.

Atlanta Falcons – The Falcons had the worst defense last year and they have made wholesale changes to stop that.  It may not come as fast as they hope.  Dan Quinn the new HC is a maven and Vic Beasley will add a pass rush but they need serious help at the secondary and are hoping a 2nd round character gamble will ignite an otherwise ordinary unit.  Matt Ryan is getting older but can still sling it.  Julio Jones can be elite at WR if he can be healthy.  Two kids are in the mix for RB and I don’t know doesn’t just play third base he plays TE for Atlanta.  The Schedule is tough pre-bye and better after.  If they have issues on D they could lose their first 5 to start.  I think if they struggle they might be 6-10.  If it all clicks *someone on ESPN radio says Superbowl lol* then 9-7 is possible.  I think it is rebuild and 7-9.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – The Bucs are starting from scratch with a new QB, 2 new Oline and a fresh start altogether.  Winston may be a superstar once he gets his feet under him.  The O line is working on growing together.  He has two great WR, a hopeful TE and depth at RB. The D is what it was but for the steal of the draft with their 4th round MLB Kwon Alexander, who is now captaining the D.  The special teams are ok but need kick return production to come out of the draft too.  The schedule is ok but this team is a work in progress.  If the team gets it together in the first 4 games they could have a spectacular 8-8 season.  If the struggles go past mid-season then 4-12 is possible.  I think they will be proud to go 6-10 after the 2-14 and be ready to be heard from in 2016.

MR N the BEARS Fan

MR N’s #NFL NFC East Preview 2015‏ #nflpreseason #nflthoughts


NFC East

Dallas Cowboys – The Cowboys had stuck to a plan to get where they were last year.  Using a great O line to power a running game took pressure off Romo to win it himself.  Now Murray fled via free agency and they have replaced him potentially with a bunch of never was’ and has been’s.  They have a very aged and fragile Tony Romo and 3 good WR and an aged but talented TE.  The O line is great.  The D needs a pass rush and they turned to a violent court convicted offender and a guy who used drugs at the combine to help.  They lost one of their not very good starting CB to injury which makes what was not great less than that.  With all that and their likelihood to turn to Romo to pass for every first down again I don’t see much for this team.  A pretty easy schedule awaits them.  I don’t see a potential high mark or even a low mark.  They will be 10-6 and that may win the division or it may not.

Philadelphia Eagles – The Eagles are Chip Kelly’s team from top to bottom now with him in full control.  He is building a team exactly how he wants one and he is jettisoning great talent for his own reasons.  All will be well if there is a Super Bowl in the next couple of years in Philly.  Otherwise, the axe will invariably fall and Kelly will be back in the Pac-74.  They have oft injured Sam Bradford et al at QB, potentially overused and nearly done DeMarco Murray at RB and a slew of receivers who are long on hope and short on proven ability.  The O line is pretty good.  They have decent Special teams but need better return effort.  The D has issues all over and isn’t built to sustain production when the offense flits on and off the field with such high speed.  It will be a long year again with a team that can outscore some and not stop many.  If all goes well the team will win 11 and challenge for the division title.  If the O gets hurt then the team could be 7-9.  I think another 9-7 and likely out of the playoffs.

New York Giants – The G-men have won two of the last 10 Super Bowls.  Interestingly enough there are precious few players remaining from the glory days beyond Eli and the long snapper.  The Giants had severe issues with O line last year and used their first pick to add Ereck Flowers and he should stop the revolving door to Eli.  The NYG offense is superb with Eli, workable running game, Superstar ODB plus other WR and a good TE all protected by a better line.  The D has a new Coordinator and Spagnuolo just needs one star to make it work – he has JPP – until JPP blew most of his hand off.  There are issues on DE/LB/S/CB.  They have good special teams but need better returners.  The Schedule is pretty easy but this team may not have D.  If the D can make some strides, this team could be 10-6.  If they O are held back by pre-eminent D’s then this team may be 7-9.  I think they will be 9-7 and probably outside looking in.

Washington Redskins – Give credit to Washington for sticking with a plan and not just tossing out RGIII and trying to re-invent the egg again.  So it is RGIII with a revamped O line (they were horrid last year) and that is to give RGIII health insurance and help Alfred Morris run like he used to.  So far in the preseason the benefits haven’t been seen.  This new line, with 1st round pick Scherff on the right side, may grow together and the Skins must hope it’s sooner rather than later.  The D was beyond horrible last year (again) and they have added lots of people in the hopes that new is better.  It has to be better as that D really can’t be worse.  The Redskins have a plan and if they can keep on it they will get better for the future but short term eek.  I think if everything comes together for them they might approach 8-8.  I just don’t see it so I think 5-11 and hope they keep on keeping on because the future will get brighter.

As always I love any thoughts, comments, arguments or agreements!  NFC South is next, then NFC West then…the highly anticipated…Preseason Power Poll

MR N the BEARS Fan

MR N’s #NFL AFC West Preview 2015 #nflpreseason #nflthoughts


AFCWest

Denver Broncos – The Broncos have kind of slid backwards ever since they got smoked by Seattle way back (2013?) and they changed regimes (kind of as the Elway regime continues) and now it’s Kubiak’s way.  The Broncs have brought in a staff of people who either all played, coached or assisted with Denver at one time or another.  Kubiak is putting in his standard run first offense, which could allow Peyton to last a little longer if it isn’t all on him. This team will be all about Manning and the offense.  They have a shot of good D potential and their special teams are ok.  They have some issues at O line, Demaryius Thomas isn’t happy to have been franchised, and they have a new TE now who won’t catch 100 plus passes this year.  The team should have a strong pass rush and good D line presence and good secondary.  If everything went perfectly the Broncos could be 14-2 and home field throughout.  If the new offense doesn’t click and Peyton is still old then 10-6 is not out of the question.  I think the end result is likely 12-4 and a division title.

Kansas City Chiefs – The Chiefs didn’t have a TD from a WR last year but I think Maclin will get at least a few this year.  Alex Smith is durable and consistent but not flashy.  Charles is the star of this team.  Kelce could be huge at TE if he can stay healthy.  The O line has major, major issues.  The D has a few stars and some solid contributors and will keep this team in most games.  The Schedule starts out a bit harsh and this team could lose their first 3 and not be really their fault.  If the Chiefs O is on point with a good D this team could win 11 and sneak one of the precious wild card spots.  If the O line allows close to 50 sacks again and there are health issues then they might win only 9.  I think 10-6 and the chance at the post season will most likely come down to who wins the game against Buffalo.

San Diego Chargers – The Chargers have been close for 5 years and they will be close again.  They also are close to moving to LA and that may yet come too if San Diego won’t pony up some interest in replacing old Qualcomm.  They inked Rivers to a huge extension, keeping their Vet QB around long past his viability.  The draft of Gordon gives them a great up at RB, Gates suspended 4 games may yet be able to get some production in the other 12 games.  Their top 5 WR do not scare anyone.  The O line is ok.  The D needs to find a consistent pass rush and their secondary needs to be felt each day.  The Special teams needs to get better on kick returns.  The schedule is a mirror of last year when SD did great early and terrible after bye.  If the Chargers are to succeed they have to beat KC and Denver and if they do then they could be 11-5. If Oakland improves too quick SD might be 7-9.  This year I see a decent 6-3 and all sorts of hopes for the post season and then a hard post bye sked will send them 3-4 and they go 9-7 and out of the playoffs again.

Oakland Raiders – The Raiders have been a long time down and on the positive things are finally looking up.  I don’t see then reaching the promised land before 2016 as this is a work in progress.  They have a great new coach in Del Rio and a GM who has a plan and an owner who is letting the plan work.  They have a great young triplet group with Carr, Murray and Cooper.  These three will eventually put up numbers ala Aikman/Smith/Irvin.  The added a solid TE in the draft.  They really need the O line to improve and that may be the flaw in the offense growth this year.  The D is led by Khalil Mack the superstar LB.  They need to generate a pass rush to match their good rush D.  That rush will aid the aged parts and untested parts of their secondary.  The Raiders need to add Oline and secondary next year in Free Agency and the draft.  This year they will be fun to watch and the Silver and Black will look good at times.  The schedule isn’t bad but this team has holes that can be picked on the NFL elite teams.  If they do everything right and get some miracle performances they could be 10-6. If the secondary is bad they might be 6-10.  I think they will be a tough to play 7-9 and watch them in 2016.

There it is, as always I enjoy every thought, comment, argument or agreement.

MR N the BEARS Fan

MR N’s #NFL NFC North 2015 Preseason Preview‏ #nflthoughts #nflnetwork


NFC north

Green Bay Packers – The first thing I wonder is how does a team that continually drafts late every round build a team of superstars on offense?  How does every other team miss on the Cobbs/Nelsons/Lacys/Rodgers etc?  The Pack are loaded on Offense with every player coming back.  The D has had changes, especially in the back end, but they drafted to meet those needs.  The Pack just needs the D to be mid talented (which they are) and their O to be virtually unstoppable and watch the results pore in.  They have a tough schedule but like the Ravens, they know how to give as good as they get.  If they get inspired D they could win 12 games.  If they D gets pushed about they might only win 10.  I split the difference.  This team goes 11-5 and is at least one of the top 3 in the NFC with a shot at Super Bowl 50.

Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings finally have a franchise QB for the first time in recent memory and an all pro child beater (not to mention Running back) plus depth of varying degrees of talent at WR and TE.  The Vikes O line has already took a hit with their RT going down for the season in the pre-season.  Their 3rd round OL pick must step up immediately.  The D under Zimmer greatly improved in the first year and should only get better with the excellent talent taken in the 1st and 2nd round of the draft.  Like every team in this division, they face a tough schedule.  There are a few spots they can take advantage of and I think if the O is dynamic and the D stalwart the Vikes could win 10 games.  If the O line can’t protect Teddy then they might struggle to reach 8-8.  I pick mid point here too. 9-7. That will give them a very outside chance at a Wild Card but this team is looking and trending upwards for their new stadium in 2016.

Detroit Lions – The Lions were a picked up flag from being in the Divisional round of the playoffs for the first time in at least this century.  The loss of Suh is significant but my prevailing opinion is that he is about two on-field misconducts away from a season long suspension and that is a when not an if.  To task Ngata and a kid to help replace the production on the D line is not a bad option.  The Lions still have a decent D line, a solid LB corps and a growing solid secondary.  This is a D that can influence a game.  Stafford needs to continue to tighten up his passing game.  Megatron is still elite but aging gracefully.  Ebron needs a healthy sophomore season to give Stafford more options.  Golden Tate is the younger star on this receiving corps.  They have Joique Bell and draftee Ameer Abdullah to give them a great RB combo finally.  Their special teams is a problem and they need consistency from both FG and Punts and some semblance of effective play on both coverage and returns.  This could still be an issue.  The Lions are strong but their schedule is brutal.  They will be pushed almost every week up to their bye and if they can end 4-4 at the half that will be an accomplishment.  Pulling off another 4-4 post bye against a second half schedule that is also brutal will be a win for them.  If they can play lights out and Stafford can dominate with the passing game and the special teams do the job – they could win 11.  I don’t see that against this schedule so I think 8-8 is the result for a team better than that record.

Chicago Bears – The bringing in of a new regime at Head Coach and GM bodes well for a franchise that has struggled for nearly a decade.  Fox should be able to bring success to the Windy City but it doesn’t appear it will be in 2015.  The loss of 1st round pick WR Kevin White for at least the first 6 if not the whole 16 games is a big hit.  Having Jay Cutler still at QB is a millstone to success of the team.  They are switching to the 3-4 D (they drafted Goldman to play NT) and this kind of switch usually creates growing pains.  The Bears have 3 ok WR (Jeffrey is a star with health and a good QB), a durable if aging RB and a talented is prissy TE and they have 2/5 of a pro bowl line.  They get to play their own improving division and they get to play the NFC West.  Yeah.  Here is their deal.  If all goes really well they will be 7-9.  If things go badly they might be 3-13.  I think my sad sack 2015 Bears will be 4-12.

There you have it, as always I appreciate any thoughts, comments, arguments or agreements!

MR N the BEARS Fan